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Evercore Inc. (EVR)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 net revenues rose 20% YoY to $694.8M and adjusted diluted EPS increased 64% YoY to $3.49, supported by improved operating margin and a significant tax benefit tied to RSU vesting; GAAP diluted EPS was $3.48 .
  • Results materially beat Wall Street consensus: revenue $694.8M vs $600.7M consensus and adjusted EPS $3.49 vs $1.54 consensus; the outsized EPS beat reflects a one-time tax benefit, not core margin expansion .
  • Dividend increased 5% to $0.84 per share and capital return was a record $454M in the quarter; Board approved new repurchase authorization up to the lesser of $1.6B or 8.0M shares .
  • Management highlighted robust, growing backlogs and more than half of revenues from non‑M&A sources, but flagged near‑term macro/tariff‑driven volatility that may impact Q2–Q3 results .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Adjusted EPS and operating margin expanded: adjusted EPS $3.49 (+64% YoY) and adjusted operating margin 16.6% (+118 bps YoY), underscoring operational leverage; “Adjusted earnings per share of $3.49, increased 64% versus the first quarter of last year” .
  • Private Capital Advisory delivered a record quarter across GP‑led continuation vehicles, LP secondaries, and securitized solutions: “Our industry‑leading Private Capital Advisory Group had a record first quarter” .
  • Strategic execution and diversification: “In the first quarter, more than 50% of total Evercore revenues were from non‑M&A sources,” with notable transactions (Calpine $29.1B, Ampere $6.5B) and strong Equities performance .

What Went Wrong

  • Underwriting softness and ECM episodic pattern: underwriting fees decreased 2% YoY to $54.3M; management described ECM windows as “somewhat episodic” and sensitive to volatility .
  • Other Revenue declined sharply due to lower hedge/fund performance: GAAP other revenue fell 75% YoY; adjusted other revenue fell 65% YoY, driven by the DCCP hedge performance swing (~$20.8M) .
  • Non‑comp expenses rose 14% YoY on occupancy and information services costs (subscription rate increases > inflation) with management cautious on flexing these costs near‑term .

Financial Results

Quarterly Trend vs Prior Periods

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Net Revenues ($USD Millions)$734.2 $975.3 $694.8
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$122.0 $212.6 $111.2
Net Income Attributable to Evercore Inc. ($USD Millions)$78.4 $140.4 $146.2
Diluted EPS ($USD)$1.86 $3.30 $3.48
Compensation Ratio (%)66.5% 65.6% 66.2%
Operating Margin (%)16.6% 21.8% 16.0%

YoY Comparison (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024)

MetricQ1 2024Q1 2025
Net Revenues ($USD Millions)$580.8 $694.8
Diluted EPS ($USD, GAAP)$2.09 $3.48
Operating Margin (%)14.5% 16.0%
Compensation Ratio (%)66.8% 66.2%

Segment/Revenue Detail (GAAP)

Revenue Line ($USD Millions)Q1 2024Q1 2025
Advisory Fees$429.8 $557.3
Underwriting Fees$55.5 $54.3
Commissions & Related$48.2 $55.1
Asset Mgmt & Admin Fees$18.7 $21.0
Other Revenue, net$28.5 $7.1
Net Revenues$580.8 $694.8

KPIs

KPIQ1 2024Q1 2025
Total # of Fees (Advisory + Underwriting)227 238
# of Fees ≥ $1M91 96
Underwriting Transactions19 14
Bookrunner Transactions16 12
AUM ($USD Millions, EOP)$12,999 $13,700

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Quarterly Dividend per shareQ2 2025 pay date$0.80 (declared Feb 4, 2025) $0.84 (declared Apr 29, 2025) Raised 5%
Share Repurchase AuthorizationOngoingPrior program (not quantified in release)Up to lesser of $1.6B or 8.0M shares/LP units Raised/new authorization
Effective Tax Rate (Adjusted)Remainder of FY 2025N/AExpected to normalize vs prior years (after Q1 -39.7% benefit) Indicated normalization
Compensation Ratio (Adjusted)FY 2025Aim to improve vs 2024Accrued at 65.7% in Q1; improvement “may prove more challenging” given uncertainty Maintained accrual, cautious outlook

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024, Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Macro/Tariffs/Volatility“Gradual recovery” and improved activity across businesses ; strong momentum entering 2025 Heightened geopolitical/trade tensions driving volatility; cautious on near-term Caution near-term
PCA/SecondariesBuilding momentum YTD; market-leading franchises Record quarter across GP-led, LP secondaries, securitized solutions Strong, accelerating
ECM/UnderwritingLead-left roles; bookrunner presence; improving tech IPO participation Strong Q1; backlog optimistic but episodic, volatility-sensitive Mixed/episodic
Restructuring/Liability MgmtHealthy activity; diversified mandates Very healthy; backlog ahead of last year; no execution constraints flagged Strengthening
Hiring/TalentContinued SMD additions in US/EU; pipeline building Steady pace; 11 internal SMD promotions; multiple external SMDs; addition of Senior Advisor William J. Burns Ongoing investment
Capital ReturnDividend $0.80; ~$529M returned YTD through Q3 Record $454M returned in Q1; dividend to $0.84; new repurchase authorization Upward

Management Commentary

  • “Evercore has never been better positioned. We continue to experience momentum across our businesses and remain committed to serving our clients.” — John S. Weinberg, CEO .
  • “In the first quarter, more than 50% of total Evercore revenues were from non‑M&A sources.” — John S. Weinberg (prepared remarks) .
  • “Adjusted earnings per share of $3.49 increased 64%... Our adjusted tax rate for the quarter was negative 39.7% which included a benefit of $78M related to the vesting of our RSUs...” — Tim LaLonde, CFO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Backlogs: Record levels and growing; pauses but not cancellations; software, PCA, restructuring, activism/defense, infrastructure/power leading throughput .
  • PCA outlook: Strong demand for GP‑led continuity funds as sponsors monetize and return capital; LP secondaries “quite strong” through year; no quantitative disclosure .
  • Europe vs US: Healthy dialogues in Europe; regulation outlook in US uncertain; internal EU trade flows not hindered by tariffs .
  • Cost dynamics: Non‑comp expense growth driven by occupancy and information services (subscription rates up > inflation); limited near‑term flex .
  • ECM: Backlog ready; IPO activity expected to resume as uncertainty/volatility subsides; windows episodic .
  • Near‑term guideposts: Q2–Q3 results may be impacted by volatility/uncertainty despite durable backlog and pipeline .

Estimates Context

MetricQ1 2025 Consensus*Q1 2025 ActualSurprise (%)# of Estimates*
Revenue ($USD Millions)600.7*694.8 +15.6%6*
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($USD)1.54*3.49 +126.9%8*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Implications:

  • The revenue beat reflects strength across advisory, commissions, and asset management .
  • The outsized EPS beat is largely tax‑driven (negative adjusted tax rate from RSU vesting benefit); management expects tax rate to normalize in subsequent quarters, implying EPS re‑bases lower absent similar benefits .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Mix shift and diversification: Over 50% of revenues from non‑M&A sources supports resilience amid macro/tariff uncertainty .
  • Backlog durability: Record and growing backlogs with strong engagement letter signings point to medium‑term conversion potential despite near‑term volatility .
  • PCA secular strength: Record quarter across GP‑led continuation funds and secondaries underpins fee stability even when sponsor M&A slows .
  • Watch ECM windows: Underwriting revenues are volatility‑sensitive; backlog exists but execution is episodic; use dislocations tactically .
  • Expense lens: Non‑comp costs up 14% YoY on occupancy and information services; comp ratio accrual at 65.7% with improvement harder in uncertain revenue environments .
  • Capital return: Dividend raised to $0.84 and new repurchase authorization up to $1.6B/8.0M shares provide downside support and shareholder yield .
  • EPS normalization: The Q1 tax benefit boosted EPS; as tax rate normalizes, focus on underlying operating margin and fee generation trends .

Citations: Q1 2025 press release and 8‑K ; Q1 2025 earnings call transcript ; Prior quarters (Q4 2024, Q3 2024) ; Q1‑period press releases .